Rate of Change StrategyRate of Change Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the Rate of Change indicator. It compares the current price with that of a user-defined period of time ago. This makes it easy to spot trends and even speculative bubbles. The strategy is long term and very risky, which is why we've added a Stop Loss. There's also a money management method that allows you to reinvest part of your profits or reduce the size of your orders in the event of substantial losses.
RATE OF CHANGE (ROC) :
As explained above, the ROC is used to situate the current price compared to that of a certain period of time ago. The formula for calculating ROC in relation to the previous year is as follows :
ROC (365) = (close/close (365) - 1) * 100
With this formula we can find out how many percent the change in the current price is compared with 365 days ago, and thus assess the trend.
PARAMETERS :
ROC Length : Length of the ROC to be calculated. The current price is compared with that of the selected length ago.
ROC Bubble Signal : ROC value indicating that we are in a bubble. This value varies enormously depending on the financial product. For example, in the equity market, a bubble exists when ROC = 40, whereas in cryptocurrencies, a bubble exists when ROC = 150.
Stop Loss (in %) : Stop Loss value in percentage. This is the maximum trade value percentage that can be lost in a single trade.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by an amount chosen by the user.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot has been used to test the different parameters and determine which ones maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BITSTAMP:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the following parameters :
ROC Length = 365
ROC Bubble Signal = 180
Stop Loss (in %) = 6
LONG CONDITION :
We are in a LONG position if ROC (365) > 0 for at least two days. This allows us to limit noise and irrelevant signals to ensure that the ROC remains positive.
SHORT CONDITION :
We are in a SHORT position if ROC (365) < 0 for at least two days. We also open a SHORT position when the speculative bubble is about to burst. If ROC (365) > 180, we're in a bubble. If the bubble has been in existence for at least a week and the ROC falls back below this threshold, we can expect the asset to return to reasonable prices, and thus a downward trend. So we're opening a SHORT position to take advantage of this upcoming decline.
EXIT RULES FOR WINNING TRADE :
The strategy is self-regulating. We don't exit a LONG trade until a SHORT signal has arrived, and vice versa. So, to exit a winning position, you have to wait for the entry signal of the opposite position.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is very risky, and we can easily end up on the wrong side of the trade. That's why we're going to manage our risk with a Stop Loss, limiting our losses as a percentage of the trade's value. By default, this percentage is set at 6%. Each trade will therefore take a maximum loss of 6%.
If the SL has been triggered, it probably means we were on the wrong side. This is why we change the direction of the trade when a SL is triggered. For example, if we were SHORT and lost 6% of the trade value, the strategy will close this losing trade and open a long position without taking into account the ROC value. This allows us to be in position all the time and not miss the best opportunities.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 1D, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 34 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)
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Sideways Scalper Peak and BottomUnderstanding the Indicator
This indicator is designed to identify potential peaks (tops) and bottoms (bottoms) within a market, which can be particularly useful in a sideways or range-bound market where price oscillates between support and resistance levels without a clear trend. Here's how it works:
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Measures the speed and change of price movements to identify overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) conditions. In a sideways market, RSI can help signal when the price might be due for a reversal within its range.
Moving Averages (MAs): The Fast MA and Slow MA provide a sense of the short-term and longer-term average price movements. In a sideways market, these can help confirm if the price is at the upper or lower extremes of its range.
Volume Spike: Looks for significant increases in trading volume, which might indicate a stronger move or a potential reversal point when combined with other conditions.
Divergence: RSI divergence occurs when the price makes a new high or low, but the RSI does not, suggesting momentum is weakening, which can be a precursor to a reversal.
How to Use in a Sideways Market
Identify the Range: First, visually identify the upper resistance and lower support levels of the sideways market on your chart. This indicator can help you spot these levels more precisely by signaling potential peaks and bottoms.
Peak Signal :
When to Look: When the price approaches the upper part of the range.
Conditions: The indicator will give a 'Peak' signal when:
RSI is over 70, indicating overbought conditions.
There's bearish divergence (price makes a higher high, but RSI doesn't).
Volume spikes, suggesting strong selling interest.
Price is above both Fast MA and Slow MA, indicating it's at a potentially high point in the range.
Action: This signal suggests that the price might be at or near the top of its range and could reverse downwards. A trader might consider selling or shorting here, expecting the price to move towards the lower part of the range.
Bottom Signal:
When to Look: When the price approaches the lower part of the range.
Conditions: The indicator will give a 'Bottom' signal when:
RSI is below 30, indicating oversold conditions.
There's bullish divergence (price makes a lower low, but RSI doesn't).
Volume spikes, suggesting strong buying interest.
Price is below both Fast MA and Slow MA, indicating it's at a potentially low point in the range.
Action: This signal suggests that the price might be at or near the bottom of its range and could reverse upwards. A trader might consider buying here, expecting the price to move towards the upper part of the range.
Confirmation: In a sideways market, false signals can occur due to the lack of a strong trend. Always look for confirmation:
Volume Confirmation: A significant volume spike can add confidence to the signal.
Price Action: Look for price action like candlestick patterns (e.g., doji, engulfing patterns) that confirm the reversal.
Time Frame: Consider using this indicator on multiple time frames. A signal on a shorter time frame (like 15m or 1h) might be confirmed by similar conditions on a longer time frame (4h or daily).
Risk Management: Since this is designed for scalping in a sideways market:
Set Tight Stop-Losses: Due to the quick nature of reversals in range-bound markets, place stop-losses close to your entry to minimize loss.
Take Profit Levels: Set profit targets near the opposite end of the range or use a trailing stop to capture as much of the move as possible before it reverses again.
Practice: Before trading with real money, practice with this indicator on historical data or in a paper trading environment to understand how it behaves in different sideways market scenarios.
Key Points for New Traders
Patience: Wait for all conditions to align before taking a trade. Sideways markets require patience as the price might hover around these levels for a while.
Not All Signals Are Equal: Sometimes, even with all conditions met, the market might not reverse immediately. Look for additional context or confirmation.
Continuous Learning: Understand that this indicator, like any tool, isn't foolproof. Learn from each trade, whether it's a win or a loss, and adjust your strategy accordingly.
By following these guidelines
Strategy: Candlestick Wick Analysis with Volume Conditions
This strategy focuses on analyzing the wicks (or shadows) of candlesticks to identify potential trading opportunities based on candlestick structure and volume. Based on these criteria, it places stop orders at the extremities of the wicks when certain conditions are met, thus increasing the chances of capturing significant price movements.
Trading Criteria
Volume Conditions:
The strategy checks if the volume of the current candle is higher than that of the previous three candles. This ensures that the observed price movement is supported by significant volume, increasing the probability that the price will continue in the same direction.
Wick Analysis:
Upper Wick:
If the upper wick of a candle represents more than 90% of its body size and is longer than the lower wick, this indicates that the price tested a resistance level before pulling back.
Order Placement: In this case, a Buy Stop order is placed at the upper extremity of the wick. This means that if the price rises back to this level, the order will be triggered, and the trader will take a buy position.
SL Management: A stop-loss is then placed below the lowest point of the same candle. This protects the trader by limiting losses if the price falls back after the order is triggered.
Lower Wick:
If the lower wick of a candle is longer than the upper wick and represents more than 90% of its body size, this indicates that the price tested a support level before rising.
Order Placement: In this case, a Sell Stop order is placed at the lower extremity of the wick. Thus, if the price drops back to this level, the order will be triggered, and the trader will take a sell position.
SL Management: A stop-loss is then placed above the highest point of the same candle. This ensures risk management by limiting losses if the price rebounds upward after the order is triggered.
Strategy Advantages
Responsiveness to Price Movements: The strategy is designed to detect significant price movements based on the market's reaction around support and resistance levels. By placing stop orders directly at the wick extremities, it allows capturing strong movements in the direction indicated by the candles.
Securing Positions: Using stop-losses positioned just above or below key levels (wicks) provides better risk management. If the market doesn't move as expected, the position is automatically closed with a limited loss.
Clear Visual Indicators: Symbols are displayed on the chart at the points where orders have been placed, making it easier to understand trading decisions. This helps to quickly identify the support or resistance levels tested by the price, as well as potential entry points.
Conclusion
The strategy is based on the idea that large wicks signal areas where buyers or sellers have tested significant price levels before temporarily retreating. By placing stop orders at the extremities of these wicks, the strategy allows capturing price movements when they confirm, while limiting risks through strategically placed stop-losses. It thus offers a balanced approach between capturing potential profit and managing risk.
This description emphasizes the idea of capturing significant market movements with stop orders while providing a clear explanation of the logic and risk management. It’s tailored for publication on TradingView and highlights the robustness of the strategy.
Martingale with MACD+KDJ opening conditionsStrategy Overview:
This strategy is based on a Martingale trading approach, incorporating MACD and KDJ indicators. It features pyramiding, trailing stops, and dynamic profit-taking mechanisms, suitable for both long and short trades. The strategy increases position size progressively using a Multiplier, a key feature of Martingale systems.
Key Concepts:
Martingale Strategy: A trading system where positions are doubled or increased after a loss to recover previous losses with a single successful trade. In this script, the position size is incremented using a Multiplier for each addition.
Pyramiding: Allows adding to existing trades when market conditions are favorable, enhancing profitability during trends.
Settings:
Basic Inputs:
Initial Order: Defines the starting size of the position.
Default: 150.0
MACD Settings: Customize the fast, slow, and signal smoothing lengths.
Default: Fast Length: 9, Slow Length: 26, Signal Smoothing: 9
KDJ Settings: Customize the length and smoothing parameters for KDJ.
Default: Length: 14, Smooth K: 3, Smooth D: 3
Max Additions: Sets the number of additional positions (pyramiding).
Default: 5 (Min: 1, Max: 10)
Position Sizing: Percent to add to positions on favorable conditions.
Default: 1.0%
Martingale Multiplier:
Add Multiplier: This value controls the scaling of additional positions according to the Martingale principle. After each loss, a new position is added, and its size is increased by the Multiplier factor. For example, with a multiplier of 2, each new addition will be twice as large as the previous one, accelerating recovery if the price moves favorably.
Default: 1.0 (no multiplication)
Can be adjusted up to 10x to aggressively increase position size after losses.
Trade Execution:
Long Trades:
Entry Condition: A long position is opened when the MACD line crosses over the signal line, and the KDJ’s %K crosses above %D.
Additions (Martingale): After the initial long position, new positions are added if the price drops by the defined percentage, and each new addition is increased using the Multiplier. This continues up to the set Max Additions.
Short Trades:
Entry Condition: A short position is opened when the MACD line crosses under the signal line, and the KDJ’s %K crosses below %D.
Additions (Martingale): After the initial short position, new positions are added if the price rises by the defined percentage, and each new addition is increased using the Multiplier.
Exit Conditions:
Take Profit: Exits are triggered when the price reaches the take-profit threshold.
Stop Loss: If the price moves unfavorably, the position will be closed at the set stop-loss level.
Trailing Stop: Adjusts dynamically as the price moves in favor of the trade to lock in profits.
On-Chart Visuals:
Long Signals: Blue triangles below the bars indicate long entries, and green triangles mark additional long positions.
Short Signals: Red triangles above the bars indicate short entries, and orange triangles mark additional short positions.
Information Table:
The strategy displays a table with key metrics:
Open Price: The entry price of the trade.
Average Price: The average price of the current position.
Additions: The number of additional positions taken.
Next Add Price: The price level for the next position.
Take Profit: The price at which profits will be taken.
Stop Loss: The stop-loss level to minimize risk.
Usage Instructions:
Adjust the parameters to your trading style using the input settings.
The Multiplier amplifies your position size after each addition, so use it cautiously, especially in volatile markets.
Monitor the signals and table on the chart for entry/exit decisions and trade management.
Larry Connors %b Strategy (Bollinger Band)Larry Connors’ %b Strategy is a mean-reversion trading approach that uses Bollinger Bands to identify buy and sell signals based on the %b indicator. This strategy was developed by Larry Connors, a renowned trader and author known for his systematic, data-driven trading methods, particularly those focusing on short-term mean reversion.
The %b indicator measures the position of the current price relative to the Bollinger Bands, which are volatility bands placed above and below a moving average. The strategy specifically targets times when prices are oversold within a long-term uptrend and aims to capture rebounds by buying at relatively low points and selling at relatively high points.
Strategy Rules
The basic rules of the %b Strategy are:
1. Trend Confirmation: The closing price must be above the 200-day moving average. This filter ensures that trades are made in alignment with a longer-term uptrend, thereby avoiding trades against the primary market trend.
2. Oversold Conditions: The %b indicator must be below 0.2 for three consecutive days. The %b value below 0.2 indicates that the price is near the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting an oversold condition.
3. Entry Signal: Enter a long position at the close when conditions 1 and 2 are met.
4. Exit Signal: Exit the position when the %b value closes above 0.8, signaling an overbought condition where the price is near the upper Bollinger Band.
How the Strategy Works
This strategy operates on the premise of mean reversion, which suggests that extreme price movements will revert to the mean over time. By entering positions when the %b value indicates an oversold condition (below 0.2) in a confirmed uptrend, the strategy attempts to capture short-term price rebounds. The exit rule (when %b is above 0.8) aims to lock in profits once the price reaches an overbought condition, often near the upper Bollinger Band.
Who Was Larry Connors?
Larry Connors is a well-known figure in the world of financial markets and trading. He co-authored several influential trading books, including “Short-Term Trading Strategies That Work” and “High Probability ETF Trading.” Connors is recognized for his quantitative approach, focusing on systematic, rules-based strategies that leverage historical data to validate trading edges.
His work primarily revolves around short-term trading strategies, often using technical indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index), Bollinger Bands, and moving averages. Connors’ methodologies have been widely adopted by traders seeking structured approaches to exploit short-term inefficiencies in the market.
Risks of the Strategy
While the %b Strategy can be effective, particularly in mean-reverting markets, it is not without risks:
1. Mean Reversion Assumption: The strategy is based on the assumption that prices will revert to the mean. In trending or sharply falling markets, this reversion may not occur, leading to sustained losses.
2. False Signals in Choppy Markets: In volatile or sideways markets, the strategy may generate multiple false signals, resulting in whipsaw trades that can erode capital through frequent small losses.
3. No Stop Loss: The basic implementation of the strategy does not include a stop loss, which increases the risk of holding losing trades longer than intended, especially if the market continues to move against the position.
4. Performance During Market Crashes: During major market downturns, the strategy’s buy signals could be triggered frequently as prices decline, compounding losses without the presence of a risk management mechanism.
Scientific References and Theoretical Basis
The %b Strategy relies on the concept of mean reversion, which has been extensively studied in finance literature. Studies by Avellaneda and Lee (2010) and Bouchaud et al. (2018) have demonstrated that mean-reverting strategies can be profitable in specific market environments, particularly when combined with volatility filters like Bollinger Bands. However, the same studies caution that such strategies are highly sensitive to market conditions and often perform poorly during periods of prolonged trends.
Bollinger Bands themselves were popularized by John Bollinger and are widely used to assess price volatility and detect potential overbought and oversold conditions. The %b value is a critical part of this analysis, as it standardizes the position of price relative to the bands, making it easier to compare conditions across different securities and time frames.
Conclusion
Larry Connors’ %b Strategy is a well-known mean-reversion technique that leverages Bollinger Bands to identify buying opportunities in uptrending markets when prices are temporarily oversold. While the strategy can be effective under the right conditions, traders should be aware of its limitations and risks, particularly in trending or highly volatile markets. Incorporating risk management techniques, such as stop losses, could help mitigate some of these risks, making the strategy more robust against adverse market conditions.
Futures Risk CalculatorFutures Risk Calculator Script - Description
The Futures Risk Calculator (FRC) is a comprehensive tool designed to help traders effectively manage risk when trading futures contracts. This script allows users to calculate risk/reward ratios directly on the chart by specifying their entry price and stop loss. It's an ideal tool for futures traders who want to quantify their potential losses and gains with precision, based on their trading account size and the number of contracts they trade.
What the Script Does:
1. Risk and Reward Calculation:
The script calculates your total risk in dollars and as a percentage of your account size based on the entry and stop-loss prices you input.
It also calculates two key levels where potential reward (Take Profit 1 and Take Profit 2) can be expected, helping you assess the reward-to-risk ratio for any trade.
2. Customizable Settings:
You can specify the size of your trading account (available $ for Futures trading) and the number of futures contracts you're trading. This allows for tailored risk management that reflects your exact trading conditions.
3. Live Chart Integration:
You add the script to your chart after opening a futures chart in TradingView. Simply click on the chart to set your Entry Price and Stop Loss. The script will instantly calculate and display the risk and reward levels based on the points you set.
Adjusting the entry and stop-loss points later is just as easy: drag and drop the levels directly on the chart, and the risk and reward calculations update automatically.
4. Futures Contract Support:
The script is pre-configured with a list of popular futures symbols (like ES, NQ, CL, GC, and more). If your preferred futures contract isn’t in the list, you can easily add it by modifying the script.
The script uses each symbol’s point value to ensure precise risk calculations, providing you with an accurate dollar risk and potential reward based on the specific contract you're trading.
How to Use the Script:
1. Apply the Script to a Futures Chart:
Open a futures contract chart in TradingView.
Add the Futures Risk Calculator (FRC) script as an indicator.
2. Set Entry and Stop Loss:
Upon applying the script, it will prompt you to select your entry price by clicking the chart where you plan to enter the market.
Next, click on the chart to set your stop-loss level.
The script will then calculate your total risk in dollars and as a percentage of your account size.
3. View Risk, Reward, and (Take Profit):
You can immediately see visual lines representing your entry, stop loss, and the calculated reward-to-risk ratio levels (Take Profit 1 and Take Profit 2).
If you want to adjust the entry or stop loss after plotting them, simply move the points on
the chart, and the script will recalculate everything for you.
4. Configure Account and Contracts:
In the script settings, you can enter your account size and adjust the number of contracts you are trading. These inputs allow the script to calculate risk in monetary terms and as a percentage, making it easier to manage your risk effectively.
5. Understand the Information in the Table:
Once you apply the script, a table will appear in the top-right corner of your chart, providing you with key information about your futures contract and the trade setup. Here's what each field represents:
Account Size: Displays your total account value, which you can set in the script's settings.
Future: Shows the selected futures symbol, along with key details such as its tick size and point value. This gives you a clear understanding of how much one point or tick is worth in dollar terms.
Entry Price: The exact price at which you plan to enter the trade, displayed in green.
Stop Loss Price: The price level where you plan to exit the trade if the market moves against you, shown in red.
Contracts: The number of futures contracts you are trading, which you can adjust in the settings.
Risk: Highlighted in orange, this field shows your total risk in dollars, as well as the percentage risk based on your account size. This is a crucial value to help you stay within your risk tolerance and manage your trades effectively.
Alpha - Combined BreakoutThis Pine Script indicator, "Alpha - Combined Breakout," is a combination between Smart Money Breakout Signals and UT Bot Alert, The UT Bot Alert indicator was initially developer by Yo_adriiiiaan
The idea of original code belongs HPotter.
This Indicator helps you identify potential trading opportunities by combining two distinct strategies: Smart Money Breakout and a modified UT Bot (likely a variation of the Ultimate Trend Bot). It provides visual signals, draws lines for potential take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) levels, and includes a dashboard to track performance metrics.
Tutorial:
Understanding and Using the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" Indicator
This indicator is designed for traders looking for confirmation of market direction and potential entry/exit points by blending structural analysis with a trend-following oscillator.
How it Works (General Concept)
The indicator combines two main components:
Smart Money Breakout: This part identifies significant breaks in market structure, which "smart money" traders often use to gauge shifts in supply and demand. It looks for higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows and flags when these structural points are broken.
UT Bot: This is a trend-following component that generates buy and sell signals based on price action relative to an Average True Range (ATR) based trailing stop.
You can choose to use these signals independently or combined to generate trading alerts and visual cues on your chart. The dashboard provides a quick overview of how well the signals are performing based on your chosen settings and display mode.
Parameters and What They Do
Let's break down each input parameter:
1. Smart Money Inputs
These settings control how the indicator identifies market structure and breakouts.
swingSize (Market Structure Time-Horizon):
What it does: This integer value defines the number of candles used to identify significant "swing" (pivot) points—highs and lows.
Effect: A larger swingSize creates a smoother market structure, focusing on longer-term trends. This means signals might appear less frequently and with some delay but could be more reliable for higher timeframes or broader market movements. A smaller swingSize will pick up more minor market structure changes, leading to more frequent but potentially noisier signals, suitable for lower timeframes or scalping.
Analogy: Think of it like a zoom level on your market structure map. Higher values zoom out, showing only major mountain ranges. Lower values zoom in, showing every hill and bump.
bosConfType (BOS Confirmation Type):
What it does: This string input determines how a Break of Structure (BOS) is confirmed. You have two options:
'Candle Close': A breakout is confirmed only if a candle's closing price surpasses the previous swing high (for bullish) or swing low (for bearish).
'Wicks': A breakout is confirmed if any part of the candle (including its wick) surpasses the previous swing high or low.
Effect: 'Candle Close' provides stronger, more conservative confirmation, as it implies sustained price movement beyond the structure. 'Wicks' provides earlier, more aggressive signals, as it captures momentary breaches of the structure.
Analogy: Imagine a wall. 'Candle Close' means the whole person must get over the wall. 'Wicks' means even a finger touching over the top counts as a breach.
choch (Show CHoCH):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to enable or disable the display of "Change of Character" (CHoCH) labels. CHoCH indicates the first structural break against the current dominant trend.
Effect: When true, it helps identify early signs of a potential trend reversal, as it marks where the market's "character" (its tendency to make higher highs/lows or lower lows/highs) first changes.
BULL (Bullish Color) & BEAR (Bearish Color):
What they do: These color inputs allow you to customize the visual appearance of bullish and bearish signals and lines drawn by the Smart Money component.
Effect: Purely cosmetic, helps with visual identification on the chart.
sm_tp_sl_multiplier (SM TP/SL Multiplier (ATR)):
What it does: A float value that acts as a multiplier for the Average True Range (ATR) to calculate the Take Profit (TP) and Stop Loss (SL) levels specifically when you're in "Smart Money Only" mode. It uses the ATR calculated by the UT Bot's nLoss_ut as its base.
Effect: A higher multiplier creates wider TP/SL levels, potentially leading to fewer trades but larger wins/losses. A lower multiplier creates tighter TP/SL levels, potentially leading to more frequent but smaller wins/losses.
2. UT Bot Alerts Inputs
These parameters control the behavior and sensitivity of the UT Bot component.
a_ut (UT Key Value (Sensitivity)):
What it does: This integer value adjusts the sensitivity of the UT Bot.
Effect: A higher value makes the UT Bot less sensitive to price fluctuations, resulting in fewer and potentially more reliable signals. A lower value makes it more sensitive, generating more signals, which can include more false signals.
Analogy: Like a noise filter. Higher values filter out more noise, keeping only strong signals.
c_ut (UT ATR Period):
What it does: This integer sets the look-back period for the Average True Range (ATR) calculation used by the UT Bot. ATR measures market volatility.
Effect: This period directly influences the calculation of the nLoss_ut (which is a_ut * xATR_ut), thus defining the distance of the trailing stop loss and take profit levels. A longer period makes the ATR smoother and less reactive to sudden price spikes. A shorter period makes it more responsive.
h_ut (UT Signals from Heikin Ashi Candles):
What it does: A boolean (true/false) input to determine if the UT Bot calculations should use standard candlestick data or Heikin Ashi candlestick data.
Effect: Heikin Ashi candles smooth out price action, often making trends clearer and reducing noise. Using them for UT Bot signals can lead to smoother, potentially delayed signals that stay with a trend longer. Standard candles are more reactive to raw price changes.
3. Line Drawing Control Buttons
These crucial boolean inputs determine which type of signals will trigger the drawing of TP/SL/Entry lines and flags on your chart. They act as a priority system.
drawLinesUtOnly (Draw Lines: UT Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the UT Bot generates a buy/sell signal.
Effect: Isolates UT Bot signals for visual analysis.
drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly (Draw Lines: Smart Money Only):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when the Smart Money Breakout logic generates a bullish/bearish breakout.
Effect: Overrides drawLinesUtOnly if both are checked. Isolates Smart Money signals.
drawLinesCombined (Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)):
What it does: If checked (true), lines and flags will only be drawn when both a UT Bot signal AND a Smart Money Breakout signal occur on the same bar.
Effect: Overrides both drawLinesUtOnly and drawLinesSmartMoneyOnly if checked. Provides the strictest entry criteria for line drawing, looking for strong confluence.
Dashboard Metrics Explained
The dashboard provides performance statistics based on the lines drawing control button selected. For example, if "Draw Lines: UT Only" is active, the dashboard will show stats only for UT Bot signals.
Total Signals: The total number of buy or sell signals generated by the selected drawing mode.
TP1 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 1 (TP1) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP2 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 2 (TP2) before hitting the Stop Loss.
TP3 Win Rate: The percentage of signals where the price reached Take Profit 3 (TP3) before hitting the Stop Loss. (Note: TP1, TP2, TP3 are in order of distance from entry, with TP3 being furthest.)
SL before any TP rate: This crucial metric shows the number of times the Stop Loss was hit / the percentage of total signals where the stop loss was triggered before any of the three Take Profit levels were reached. This gives you a clear picture of how often a trade resulted in a loss without ever moving into profit target territory.
Short Tutorial: How to Use the Indicator
Add to Chart: Open your TradingView chart, go to "Indicators," search for "Alpha - Combined Breakout," and add it to your chart.
Access Settings: Once added, click the gear icon next to the indicator name on your chart to open its settings.
Choose Your Signal Mode:
For UT Bot only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: UT Only" is checked.
For Smart Money only: Uncheck "Draw Lines: UT Only" and "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". Ensure "Draw Lines: Smart Money Only" is checked.
For Combined Signals: Check "Draw Lines: UT & Smart Money (Combined)". This will override the other two.
Adjust Parameters:
Start with default settings. Observe how the signals appear on your chosen asset and timeframe.
Refine Smart Money: If you see too many "noisy" market structure breaks, increase swingSize. If you want earlier breakouts, try "Wicks" for bosConfType.
Refine UT Bot: Adjust a_ut (Sensitivity) to get more or fewer UT Bot signals. Change c_ut (ATR Period) if you want larger or smaller TP/SL distances. Experiment with h_ut to see if Heikin Ashi smoothing suits your trading style.
Adjust TP/SL Multiplier: If using "Smart Money Only" mode, fine-tune sm_tp_sl_multiplier to set appropriate risk/reward levels.
Interpret Signals & Lines:
Buy/Sell Flags: These indicate the presence of a signal based on your selected drawing mode.
Entry Line (Blue Solid): This is where the signal was generated (usually the close price of the signal candle).
SL Line (Red/Green Solid): Your calculated stop loss level.
TP Lines (Dashed): Your three calculated take profit levels (TP1, TP2, TP3, where TP3 is the furthest target).
Smart Money Lines (BOS/CHoCH): These lines indicate horizontal levels where market structure breaks occurred. CHoCH labels might appear at the first structural break against the prior trend.
Monitor Dashboard: Pay attention to the dashboard in the top right corner. This dynamically updates to show the win rates for each TP and, crucially, the "SL before any TP rate." Use these statistics to evaluate the effectiveness of the indicator's signals under your current settings and chosen mode.
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Set Alerts (Optional): You can set up alerts for any of the specific signals (UT Bot Long/Short, Smart Money Bullish/Bearish, or the "Line Draw" combined signals) to notify you when they occur, even if you're not actively watching the chart.
By following this tutorial, you'll be able to effectively use and customize the "Alpha - Combined Breakout" indicator to suit your trading strategy.
SMA + RSI + Volume + ATR StrategySMA + RSI + Volume + ATR Strategy
1. Indicators Used:
SMA (Simple Moving Average): This is a trend-following indicator that calculates the average price of a security over a specified period (50 periods in this case). It's used to identify the overall trend of the market.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): This measures the speed and change of price movements. It tells us if the market is overbought (too high) or oversold (too low). Overbought is above 70 and oversold is below 30.
Volume: This is the amount of trading activity. A higher volume often indicates strong interest in a particular price move.
ATR (Average True Range): This measures volatility, or how much the price is moving in a given period. It helps us adjust stop losses and take profits based on market volatility.
2. Conditions for Entering Trades:
Buy Signal (Green Up Arrow):
Price is above the 50-period SMA (indicating an uptrend).
RSI is below 30 (indicating the market might be oversold or undervalued, signaling a potential reversal).
Current volume is higher than average volume (indicating strong interest in the move).
ATR is increasing (indicating higher volatility, suggesting that the market might be ready for a move).
Sell Signal (Red Down Arrow):
Price is below the 50-period SMA (indicating a downtrend).
RSI is above 70 (indicating the market might be overbought or overvalued, signaling a potential reversal).
Current volume is higher than average volume (indicating strong interest in the move).
ATR is increasing (indicating higher volatility, suggesting that the market might be ready for a move).
3. Take Profit & Stop Loss:
Take Profit: When a trade is made, the strategy will set a target price at a certain percentage above or below the entry price (1.5% in this case) to automatically exit the trade once that target is hit.
Stop Loss: If the price goes against the position, a stop loss is set at a percentage below or above the entry price (0.5% in this case) to limit losses.
4. Execution of Trades:
When the buy condition is met, the strategy will enter a long position (buying).
When the sell condition is met, the strategy will enter a short position (selling).
5. Visual Representation:
Green Up Arrow: Appears on the chart when the buy condition is met.
Red Down Arrow: Appears on the chart when the sell condition is met.
These arrows help you see at a glance when the strategy suggests you should buy or sell.
In Summary:
This strategy uses a combination of trend-following (SMA), momentum (RSI), volume, and volatility (ATR) to decide when to buy or sell a stock. It looks for opportunities when the market is either oversold (buy signal) or overbought (sell signal) and makes sure there’s enough volume and volatility to back up the move. It also includes take-profit and stop-loss levels to manage risk.
3 EMA + RSI with Trail Stop [Free990] (LOW TF)This trading strategy combines three Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) to identify trend direction, uses RSI to signal exit conditions, and applies both a fixed percentage stop-loss and a trailing stop for risk management. It aims to capture momentum when the faster EMAs cross the slower EMA, then uses RSI thresholds, time-based exits, and stops to close trades.
Short Explanation of the Logic
Trend Detection: When the 10 EMA crosses above the 20 EMA and both are above the 100 EMA (and the current price bar closes higher), it triggers a long entry signal. The reverse happens for a short (the 10 EMA crosses below the 20 EMA and both are below the 100 EMA).
RSI Exit: RSI crossing above a set threshold closes long trades; crossing below another threshold closes short trades.
Time-Based Exit: If a trade is in profit after a set number of bars, the strategy closes it.
Stop-Loss & Trailing Stop: A fixed stop-loss based on a percentage from the entry price guards against large drawdowns. A trailing stop dynamically tightens as the trade moves in favor, locking in potential gains.
Detailed Explanation of the Strategy Logic
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Setup
Short EMA (out_a, length=10)
Medium EMA (out_b, length=20)
Long EMA (out_c, length=100)
The code calculates three separate EMAs to gauge short-term, medium-term, and longer-term trend behavior. By comparing their relative positions, the strategy infers whether the market is bullish (EMAs stacked positively) or bearish (EMAs stacked negatively).
Entry Conditions
Long Entry (entryLong): Occurs when:
The short EMA (10) crosses above the medium EMA (20).
Both EMAs (short and medium) are above the long EMA (100).
The current bar closes higher than it opened (close > open).
This suggests that momentum is shifting to the upside (short-term EMAs crossing up and price action turning bullish). If there’s an existing short position, it’s closed first before opening a new long.
Short Entry (entryShort): Occurs when:
The short EMA (10) crosses below the medium EMA (20).
Both EMAs (short and medium) are below the long EMA (100).
The current bar closes lower than it opened (close < open).
This indicates a potential shift to the downside. If there’s an existing long position, that gets closed first before opening a new short.
Exit Signals
RSI-Based Exits:
For long trades: When RSI exceeds a specified threshold (e.g., 70 by default), it triggers a long exit. RSI > short_rsi generally means overbought conditions, so the strategy exits to lock in profits or avoid a pullback.
For short trades: When RSI dips below a specified threshold (e.g., 30 by default), it triggers a short exit. RSI < long_rsi indicates oversold conditions, so the strategy closes the short to avoid a bounce.
Time-Based Exit:
If the trade has been open for xBars bars (configurable, e.g., 24 bars) and the trade is in profit (current price above entry for a long, or current price below entry for a short), the strategy closes the position. This helps lock in gains if the move takes too long or momentum stalls.
Stop-Loss Management
Fixed Stop-Loss (% Based): Each trade has a fixed stop-loss calculated as a percentage from the average entry price.
For long positions, the stop-loss is set below the entry price by a user-defined percentage (fixStopLossPerc).
For short positions, the stop-loss is set above the entry price by the same percentage.
This mechanism prevents catastrophic losses if the market moves strongly against the position.
Trailing Stop:
The strategy also sets a trail stop using trail_points (the distance in price points) and trail_offset (how quickly the stop “catches up” to price).
As the market moves in favor of the trade, the trailing stop gradually tightens, allowing profits to run while still capping potential drawdowns if the price reverses.
Order Execution Flow
When the conditions for a new position (long or short) are triggered, the strategy first checks if there’s an opposite position open. If there is, it closes that position before opening the new one (prevents going “both long and short” simultaneously).
RSI-based and time-based exits are checked on each bar. If triggered, the position is closed.
If the position remains open, the fixed stop-loss and trailing stop remain in effect until the position is exited.
Why This Combination Works
Multiple EMA Cross: Combining 10, 20, and 100 EMAs balances short-term momentum detection with a longer-term trend filter. This reduces false signals that can occur if you only look at a single crossover without considering the broader trend.
RSI Exits: RSI provides a momentum oscillator view—helpful for detecting overbought/oversold conditions, acting as an extra confirmation to exit.
Time-Based Exit: Prevents “lingering trades.” If the position is in profit but failing to advance further, it takes profit rather than risking a trend reversal.
Fixed & Trailing Stop-Loss: The fixed stop-loss is your safety net to cap worst-case losses. The trailing stop allows the strategy to lock in gains by following the trade as it moves favorably, thus maximizing profit potential while keeping risk in check.
Overall, this approach tries to capture momentum from EMA crossovers, protect profits with trailing stops, and limit risk through both a fixed percentage stop-loss and exit signals from RSI/time-based logic.
Risk Management Tool [LuxAlgo]Good money management is one of the fundamental pillars of successful trading. With this indicator, we propose a simple way to manage trading positions. This tool shows Profit & Loss (P&L), suggests position size given a certain risk, sets stop losses and take profit levels using fixed price value/percentage/ATR/Range, and can also determine entries from crosses with technical indicators which is particularly handy if you don't want to set an entry manually.
1. Settings
Position Type: Determines if the position should be a "Long" or "Short".
Account Size: Determines the total capital of the trading account.
Risk: The maximum risk amount for a trade. Can be set as a percentage of the account size or as a fixed amount.
Entry Price: Determines the entry price of the position.
Entry From Cross: When enabled, allows to set the entry price where a cross with an external source was produced.
1.1 Stop Loss/Take Profit
Take Profit: Determines the take profit level, which can be determined by a value or percentage.
Stop Loss: Determines the stop loss level, which can be determined by a value or percentage.
2. Usage
One of the main usages of position management tools is to determine the position size to allocate given a specific risk amount and stop-loss. 2% of your capital is often recommended as a risk amount.
Our tool allows setting stop losses and take profits with different methods.
The ATR method sets the stop loss/take profit one ATR away from the entry price, with the ATR period being determined in the drop-down menu next to the selected methods. The range method works similarly but instead of using the ATR, we use a rolling range with a period determined in the drop-down menu next to the selected methods as well.
Unlike the available position management tool on TradingView, the entry can be determined from a cross between the price an an external source. The image above shows entries from the Volatility Stop indicator. This is particularly useful if you set positions based on trailing stops.
Canuck Trading Trader StrategyCanuck Trading Trader Strategy
Overview
The Canuck Trading Trader Strategy is a high-performance, trend-following trading system designed for NASDAQ:TSLA on a 15-minute timeframe. Optimized for precision and profitability, this strategy leverages short-term price trends to capture consistent gains while maintaining robust risk management. Ideal for traders seeking an automated, data-driven approach to trading Tesla’s volatile market, it delivers strong returns with controlled drawdowns.
Key Features
Trend-Based Entries: Identifies short-term trends using a 2-candle lookback period and a minimum trend strength of 0.2%, ensuring responsive trade signals.
Risk Management: Includes a configurable 3.0% stop-loss to cap losses and a 2.0% take-profit to lock in gains, balancing risk and reward.
High Precision: Utilizes bar magnification for accurate backtesting, reflecting realistic trade execution with 1-tick slippage and 0.1 commission.
Clean Interface: No on-chart indicators, providing a distraction-free trading experience focused on performance.
Flexible Sizing: Allocates 10% of equity per trade with support for up to 2 simultaneous positions (pyramiding).
Performance Highlights
Backtested from March 1, 2024, to June 20, 2025, on NASDAQ:TSLA (15-minute timeframe) with $1,000,000 initial capital:
Net Profit: $2,279,888.08 (227.99%)
Win Rate: 52.94% (3,039 winning trades out of 5,741)
Profit Factor: 3.495
Max Drawdown: 2.20%
Average Winning Trade: $1,050.91 (0.55%)
Average Losing Trade: $338.20 (0.18%)
Sharpe Ratio: 2.468
Note: Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always validate with your own backtesting and forward testing.
Usage Instructions
Setup:
Apply the strategy to a NASDAQ:TSLA 15-minute chart.
Ensure your TradingView account supports bar magnification for accurate results.
Configuration:
Lookback Candles: Default is 2 (recommended).
Min Trend Strength: Set to 0.2% for optimal trade frequency.
Stop Loss: Default 3.0% to cap losses.
Take Profit: Default 2.0% to secure gains.
Order Size: 10% of equity per trade.
Pyramiding: Allows up to 2 orders.
Commission: Set to 0.1.
Slippage: Set to 1 tick.
Enable "Recalculate After Order is Filled" and "Recalculate on Every Tick" in backtest settings.
Backtesting:
Run backtests over March 1, 2024, to June 20, 2025, to verify performance.
Adjust stop-loss (e.g., 2.5%) or take-profit (e.g., 1–3%) to suit your risk tolerance.
Live Trading:
Use with a compatible broker or TradingView alerts for automated execution.
Monitor execution for slippage or latency, especially given the high trade frequency (5,741 trades).
Validate in a demo account before deploying with real capital.
Risk Disclosure
Trading involves significant risk and may result in losses exceeding your initial capital. The Canuck Trading Trader Strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Users are responsible for their own trading decisions and should conduct thorough testing before using in live markets. The strategy’s high trade frequency requires reliable execution infrastructure to minimize slippage and latency.
(Early Test) Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion# Enhancing Trading Strategies with the Weekly Seasonality Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
Amidst this pursuit to chase price, a common pitfall emerges: an overemphasis on price movements without adequate attention to risk management, probabilistic analysis, and strategic position sizing. To address these challenges, I developed the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator**. It is designed to refocus traders on essential aspects of trading, such as risk management and probabilistic returns, thereby catering to both short-term swing traders and long-term investors aiming for tax-efficient positions.
## The Motivation Behind the Indicator
### Overemphasis on Price: A Common Trading Pitfall
Many traders concentrate heavily on price charts and technical indicators, often neglecting the underlying principles of risk management and probabilistic analysis. This overemphasis on price can lead to:
- **Overtrading:** Making frequent trades based solely on price movements without considering the associated risks.
- **Poor Risk Management:** Failing to set appropriate stop-loss levels or position sizes, increasing the potential for significant losses.
- **Emotional Trading:** Letting emotions drive trading decisions rather than objective analysis, which can result in impulsive and irrational trades.
### The Need for Balanced Focus
To achieve sustained trading success, it is crucial to balance price analysis with robust risk management and probabilistic strategies. Key areas of focus include:
1. **Risk Management:** Implementing strategies to protect capital, such as setting stop-loss orders and determining appropriate position sizes based on risk tolerance.
2. **Probabilistic Analysis:** Assessing the likelihood of various market outcomes to make informed trading decisions.
3. **Swing Trading Percent Returns:** Capitalizing on short- to medium-term price movements by buying assets below their average return and selling them above.
## Introducing the Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator
The **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** is designed to integrate these essential elements into a comprehensive tool that aids traders in making informed, risk-aware decisions. Below, we explore the key components and functionalities of this indicator.
### Key Components of the Indicator
1. **Average Return (%)**
- **Definition:** The mean percentage return for each week across multiple years.
- **Purpose:** Serves as a benchmark to identify weeks with above or below-average performance, guiding buy and sell decisions.
2. **Positive Percentage (%)**
- **Definition:** The proportion of weeks that yielded positive returns.
- **Purpose:** Indicates the consistency of positive returns, helping traders gauge the reliability of certain weeks for trading.
3. **Volatility (%)**
- **Definition:** The standard deviation of weekly returns.
- **Purpose:** Measures the variability of returns, providing insights into the risk associated with trading during specific weeks.
4. **Kelly Ratio**
- **Definition:** A mathematical formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the logarithmic growth of capital.
- **Purpose:** Balances potential returns against risks, guiding traders on the appropriate position size to take.
5. **Adjusted Kelly Fraction**
- **Definition:** The Kelly Ratio adjusted based on user-defined risk tolerance and external factors like Federal Reserve (Fed) stance.
- **Purpose:** Personalizes the Kelly Criterion to align with individual risk preferences and market conditions, enhancing risk management.
6. **Position Size ($)**
- **Definition:** The calculated amount to invest based on the Adjusted Kelly Fraction.
- **Purpose:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with risk management strategies, preventing overexposure to any single trade.
7. **Max Drawdown (%)**
- **Definition:** The maximum observed loss from a peak to a trough of a portfolio, before a new peak is attained.
- **Purpose:** Assesses the worst-case scenario for losses, crucial for understanding potential capital erosion.
### Functionality and Benefits
- **Weekly Data Aggregation:** Aggregates weekly returns across multiple years to provide a robust statistical foundation for decision-making.
- **Quarterly Filtering:** Allows users to filter weeks based on quarters, enabling seasonality analysis and tailored strategies aligned with specific timeframes.
- **Dynamic Risk Adjustment:** Incorporates the Dynamic Kelly Criterion to adjust position sizes in real-time based on changing risk profiles and market conditions.
- **User-Friendly Visualization:** Presents all essential metrics in an organized Summary Table, facilitating quick and informed decision-making.
## The Origin of the Kelly Criterion and Addressing Its Limitations
### Understanding the Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion, developed by John L. Kelly Jr. in 1956, is a formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize the long-term growth of capital. The formula considers both the probability of winning and the payout ratio, balancing potential returns against the risk of loss.
**Kelly Formula:**
\
Where:
- \( b \) = the net odds received on the wager ("b to 1")
- \( p \) = probability of winning
- \( q \) = probability of losing ( \( q = 1 - p \) )
### The Risk of Ruin
While the Kelly Criterion is effective in optimizing growth, it carries inherent risks:
- **Overbetting:** If the input probabilities or payout ratios are misestimated, the Kelly Criterion can suggest overly aggressive position sizes, leading to significant losses.
- **Assumption of Constant Probabilities:** The criterion assumes that probabilities remain constant, which is rarely the case in dynamic markets.
- **Ignoring External Factors:** Traditional Kelly implementations do not account for external factors such as Federal Reserve rates, margin requirements, or market volatility, which can impact risk and returns.
### Addressing Traditional Limitations
Recognizing these limitations, the **Weekly Seasonality with Dynamic Kelly Criterion Indicator** introduces enhancements to the traditional Kelly approach:
- **Incorporation of Fed Stance:** Adjusts the Kelly Fraction based on the current stance of the Federal Reserve (neutral, dovish, or hawkish), reflecting broader economic conditions that influence market behavior.
- **Margin and Leverage Considerations:** Accounts for margin rates and leverage, ensuring that position sizes remain within manageable risk parameters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Continuously updates position sizes based on real-time risk assessments and probabilistic analyses, mitigating the risk of ruin associated with static Kelly implementations.
## How the Indicator Aids Traders
### For Short-Term Swing Traders
Short-term swing traders thrive on capitalizing over weekly price movements. The indicator aids them by:
- **Identifying Favorable Weeks:** Highlights weeks with above-average returns and favorable volatility, guiding entry and exit points.
- **Optimal Position Sizing:** Utilizes the Adjusted Kelly Fraction to determine the optimal amount to invest, balancing potential returns with risk exposure.
- **Probabilistic Insights:** Provides metrics like Positive Percentage (%) and Kelly Ratio to assess the likelihood of favorable outcomes, enhancing decision-making.
### For Long-Term Tax-Free Investors
This is effectively a drop-in replacement for DCA which uses fixed position size that doesn't change based on market conditions, as a result, it's like catching multiple falling knifes by the blade and smiling with blood on your hand... I don't know about you, but I'd rather juggle by the hilt and look like an actual professional...
Long-term investors, especially those seeking tax-free positions (e.g., through retirement accounts), benefit from:
- **Consistent Risk Management:** Ensures that position sizes are aligned with long-term capital preservation strategies.
- **Seasonality Analysis:** Allows for strategic positioning based on historical performance trends across different weeks and quarters.
- **Dynamic Adjustments:** Adapts to changing market conditions, maintaining optimal risk profiles over extended investment horizons.
### Developers
Please double check the logic and functionality because I think there are a few issue and I need to crowd source solutions and be responsible about the code I publish. If you have corrections, please DM me or leave a respectful comment.
I want to publish this by the end of the year and include other things like highlighting triple witching weeks, adding columns for volume % stats, VaR and CVaR, alpha, beta (to see the seasonal alpha and beta based off a benchmark ticker and risk free rate ticker and other little goodies.
MTF HalfTrendIntroduction
A half-trend indicator is a technical analysis tool that uses moving averages and price data to find potential trend reversal and entry points in the form of graphical arrows showing market turning points.
The salient features of this indicator are:
- It uses the phenomenon of moving averages.
- It is a momentum indicator.
- It can indicate a trend change.
- It is capable of detecting a bullish or bearish trend reversal.
- It can signal to sell/buy.
- It is a real-time indicator.
Multi-Timeframe Application
A standout feature is its flexibility across timeframes. Traders have the liberty to choose any timeframe on the chart, enhancing the tool's versatility and making it suitable for both short-term and long-term analyses.
Principle of the Half Trend indicator
This indicator is based on the moving averages. The moving average is the average of the fluctuation or change in the price of an asset. These averages are taken for a time interval.
So, a half-trend indicator takes the moving averages phenomenon as its principle for working. The most commonly used moving averages in a half trend indicator are:
- Relative strength index (RSI)
- EMA (estimated moving average)
Components of a Half Trend indicator
There are two main components of a half trend indicator:
- Half trend line
- Arrows
- ATR lines
Half trend line
Half trend line represents this indicator on a candlestick chart. This line shows the trend of a chart in real-time. A half-trend line is based on the moving averages.
There are two further components of a half-trend line:
- Redline
- Blue line
A red line represents a bearish trend. When the half-trend line turns red, a trend is facing a dip. It is time for the bears to take control of the market. A bearish control of the market represents the domination of sellers in the market.
On the other hand, the blue line represents the bullish nature of the market. It tells a trader that the bullish sentiment of the market is prevailing. A bullish market means the number of buyers is significantly greater than the number of sellers.
Moreover, a trader can change these colors to his choice by customization.
Arrows
There are two types of arrows in this indicator which help a trader with the entry and exit points. These arrows are,
- Blue arrow
- Red arrow
A blue arrow signals a buying trade; on the other hand, a red arrow tells a trader about the selling of the assets. These arrows work with the moving average line to formulate a trading strategy.
The color of these arrows is changed if a trader desires so.
ATR lines
The ATR blue and red lines represent the Average True Range of the Half trend line. They may be used as stop loss or take profit levels.
Pros and Cons
Pros
- It is a very easy to eyes indicator.
- This is a very useful friendly indicator.
- It provides sufficient information to beginner traders.
- It provides sufficient information for entry points in a trade.
- A half-trend indicator provides a good exit strategy for a trader.
- It provides information about market reversals.
- It helps a trader to find a bullish and bearish sentiment in the market.
Cons
- It is a real-time indicator. So, it can lag.
- The lagging of this indicator can lead to miss opportunities.
- The most advanced and professional traders may not rely on this indicator for crucial trading decisions.
- The lagging of this indicator can predict false reversals of the market.
- It can create false signals.
- It requires the confluence of the other technical tools for a better success ratio.
Settings for Half Trend indicator
The default settings for half trend indicator are:
Amplitude = 2
Channel deviation = 2
Different markets or financial instruments may require different settings for optimal execution.
Amplitude: The degree that the Half trend line takes the internal variables into consideration. The higher the number, the fewer trades. The default value is 2.
Channel deviation: The ATR value calculation from the Half trend line. The default value is 2.
Trading strategy
It is an effective indicator in terms of strategy formation for a trading setup. The new and beginner trades can take benefit from this indicator for the formulation of a good trading setup. This indicator also helps seasoned and professional traders formulate a good trading setup with other technical tools.
The trading strategy involving a half-trend indicator is divided into three parts:
- Entry and exit
- Risk management
- Take profit
Entry and exit
It is an effective indicator that provides sufficient information about the entry and exit points in a trading setup. The profit of a trader is directly proportional to the appropriate entry and exit points. So, it is a crucial step in any trading setup.
The blue and red arrows provide information about the entry and exit points in a trading setup. Furthermore, the entry and exit for the bullish and bearish setups are as follows.
Entry and exit for a bullish setup
If a blue arrow appears under the half-trend line, it means the bullish sentiment of the market is getting stronger in the future. So, it is a signal for entry in a bullish setup.
As the red arrow appears on the chart, it is a signal to exit your trade. The red arrow represents a reversal in the market, so it is a good opportunity to close your trade in a bullish setup.
Entry and exit for a bearish setup
Suppose a red arrow appears above the red moving average line. It is a good opportunity to enter a trade in a bearish setup. The red line represents that sooner the sellers are going to take control and the value of the asset is about to face a dip. So it is the best time to make your move.
As the opposite arrow appears in the chart, it is time to exit from a bearish trade setup.
Re-entering a position
Bullish setup
- The half-trend line is blue.
- At least one candle closes below the blue half-trend line.
- Enter on the candle that closes above the blue half-trend line.
Bearish setup
- The half-trend line is red.
- At least one candle closes above the red half-trend line.
- Enter on the candle that closes below the red half-trend line.
Risk management
Risk management is an integral part of a trading setup. It is an important step to protect your potential profits and losses.
When trading in a bullish market, place the stop loss at the prior swing low. It will help you to cut your losses in case the prices move to the lower end.
In the case of a bearish market, place your stop loss above the prior swing high.
A trader may trail the stop loss using the ATR lines.
The new trader often makes mistakes in the placement of the stop loss. If you don’t place the stop loss at an appropriate point. It can drain your bank account and ruin your trading experience. Is is recommended not to risk more than 2% of your trading account, per trade.
Take profit
The blue ATR line may be used as one take profit level on a bullish setup followed by the previous swing high. The signal reversal would indicate the final take profit and closing of any position.
The red ATR line may be used as one take profit level on a bearish setup followed by the previous swing low. The signal reversal would indicate the final take profit and closing of any position.
Conclusion
A half trend indicator is a decent indicator that can transform your trading experience. It is a dual indicator that is based on the moving averages as well as helps you to form a trading strategy. If you are a new trader, this indicator can help you to learn and flourish in the trading universe. If you are a seasoned trader, I recommend you use this indicator with other technical analysis tools to enhance your success ratio.
All credits go to:
- @everget the original creator of this indicator (I just added the MTF capability).
- Ali Muhammad original author of much of the description used.
Turtle Trader StrategyTurtle Trader Strategy :
Introduction :
This strategy is based on the well known « Turtle Trader Strategy », that has proven itself over the years. It sends long and short signals with pyramid orders of up to 5, meaning that the strategy can trigger up to 5 orders in the same direction. Good risk and money management.
It's important to note that the strategy combines 2 systems working together (S1 and S2). Let’s describe the specific features of this strategy.
1/ Position size :
Position size is very important for turtle traders to manage risk properly. This position sizing strategy adapts to market volatility and to account (gains and losses). It’s based on ATR (Average True Range) which can also be called « N ». Its length is per default 20.
ATR(20) = (previous_atr(20)*19 + actual_true_range)/20
The number of units to buy is :
Unit = 1% * account/(ATR(20)*dollar_per_point)
where account is the actual account value and dollar_per_point is the variation in dollar of the asset with a 1 point move.
Depending on your risk aversion, you can increase the percentage of your account, but turtle traders default to 1%. If you trade contracts, units must be rounded down by default.
There is also an additional rule to reduce the risk if the value of the account falls below the initial capital : in this case and only in this case, account in the unit formula must be replace by :
account = actual_account*actual_account/initial capital
2/ Open a position :
2 systems are working together :
System 1 : Entering a new 20 day breakout
System 2 : Entering a new 55 day breakout
A breakout is a new high or new low. If it’s a new high, we open long position and vice versa if it’s a new low we enter in short position.
We add an additional rule :
System 1 : Breakout is ignored if last long/short position was a winner
System 2 : All signals are taken
This additional rule allows the trader to be in the major trends if the system 1 signal has been skipped. If a signal for system 1 has been skipped, and next candle is also a new 20 day breakout, S1 doesn’t give a signal. We have to wait S2 signal or wait for a candle that doesn’t make a new breakout to reactivate S1.
3/ Pyramid orders :
Turtle Strategy allows us to add extra units to the position if the price moves in our favor. I've configured the strategy to allow up to 5 orders to be added in the same direction. So if the price varies from 0.5*ATR(20) , we add units with the position size formula. Note that the value of account will be replaced by "remaining_account", i.e. the cash remaining in our account after subtracting the value of open positions.
4/ Stop Loss :
We set a stop loss at 1.5*ATR(20) below the entry price for longs and above the entry price for shorts. If pyramid units are added, the stop is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20). Note that if SL is configured for a loss of more than 10%, we set the SL to 10% for the first entry order to avoid big losses. This configuration does not work for pyramid orders as SL moves by 0.5*ATR(20).
5/ Exit signals :
System 1 :
Exit long on a 10 day low
Exit short on a 10 day high
System 2 :
Exit long on a 20 day low
Exit short on a 20 day high
6/ What types of orders are placed ?
To enter in a position, stop orders are placed meaning that we place orders that will be automatically triggered by the signal at the exact breakout price. Stop loss and exit signals are also stop orders. Pyramid orders are market orders which will be triggered at the opening of the next candle to avoid repainting.
PARAMETERS :
Risk % of capital : Percentage used in the position size formula. Default is 1%
ATR period : ATR length used to calculate ATR. Default is 20
Stop ATR : Parameters used to fix stop loss. Default is 1.5 meaning that stop loss will be set at : buy_price - 1.5*ATR(20) for long and buy_price + 1.5*ATR(20) for short. Turtle traders default is 2 but 1.5 is better for cryptocurrency as there is a huge volatility.
S1 Long : System 1 breakout length for long. Default is 20
S2 Long : System 2 breakout length for long. Default is 55
S1 Long Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit long. Default is 10
S2 Long Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit long. Default is 20
S1 Short : System 1 breakout length for short. Default is 15
S2 Short : System 2 breakout length for short. Default is 55
S1 Short Exit : System 1 breakout length to exit short. Default is 7
S2 Short Exit : System 2 breakout length to exit short. Default is 20
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Pyramiding : Number of orders that can be passed in the same direction. Default is 5.
Important : Turtle traders don't trade crypto. For this specific asset type, I modify some parameters such as SL and Short S1 in order to maximize return while limiting drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal on BINANCE:BTCUSD in 1D timeframe with the parameters set per default. If you want to use this strategy for a different crypto please adapt parameters.
NOTE :
It's important to note that the first entry order (long or short) will be the largest. Subsequent pyramid orders will have fewer units than the first order. We've set a maximum SL for the first order of 10%, meaning that you won't lose more than 10% of the value of your first order. However, it is possible to lose more on your pyramid orders, as the SL is increased/decreased by 0.5*ATR(20), which does not secure a loss of more than 10% on your pyramid orders. The risk remains well managed because the value of these orders is less than the value of the first order. Remain vigilant to this small detail and adjust your risk according to your risk aversion.
Enjoy the strategy and don’t forget to take the trade :)
Contrarian DC Strategy - w Entry SL Pause and TrailingStopDonchian Channel Setup:
The strategy uses a tool called the Donchian Channel. Imagine this as two lines (bands) on a chart that show the highest and lowest prices over a certain number of past trading days (default is 20 days).
There's also a centerline, which is the average of these two bands.
Entry Conditions for Trades:
Buying (Going Long): The strategy considers buying when the price touches or falls below the lower band of the Donchian Channel. However, this only happens if there has been a pause after a previous losing trade. This pause is a number of candles where no new trades are taken.
Selling (Going Short): Similarly, the strategy considers selling when price reaches or exceeds the upper band of the Donchian Channel. Again, this is subject to a pause after a losing trade.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Each trade has a "Stop Loss" and "Take Profit" set. The Stop Loss is a preset price level where the trade will close to prevent further losses if the market moves against your position. The Take Profit does the same but locks in profit if the market moves in your favor.
The Stop Loss is set based on a percentage of the price at which you entered the trade.
The Take Profit is determined by the Risk/Reward Ratio. This ratio helps balance how much you're willing to risk versus the potential reward.
Trailing Stop Loss:
When a trade is profitable, the strategy should involve a "Trailing Stop Loss." This means the Stop Loss level moves (or trails) the price movement to lock in profits as the market moves in your favor.
For a buy trade, if the price moves above the centerline of the Donchian Channel, the Trailing Stop Loss should be adjusted in the middle between the entry price and the centerline. Viceversa for a sell trade, it should be adjusted in the same way if the price goes below the centerline.
IMPORTANT: There's no allert for the trailing stop at the moment.
Post-Stop Loss Pause:
If a trade hits the Stop Loss (i.e., it's a losing trade), the strategy takes a break before opening another trade in the same direction. This pause helps to avoid entering another trade immediately in a potentially unfavorable market.
In summary, this strategy is designed to make trades based on the Donchian Channel, with specific rules for when to enter and exit trades, and mechanisms to manage risk and protect profits. It's contrarian because it tends to buy when the price is low and sell when the price is high, which is opposite to what many traders might do.
Long/Short/Exit/Risk management Strategy # LongShortExit Strategy Documentation
## Overview
The LongShortExit strategy is a versatile trading system for TradingView that provides complete control over entry, exit, and risk management parameters. It features a sophisticated framework for managing long and short positions with customizable profit targets, stop-loss mechanisms, partial profit-taking, and trailing stops. The strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals for visual feedback on the current trading state.
## Key Features
### General Settings
- **Trading Direction**: Choose to trade long positions only, short positions only, or both.
- **Max Trades Per Day**: Limit the number of trades per day to prevent overtrading.
- **Bars Between Trades**: Enforce a minimum number of bars between consecutive trades.
### Session Management
- **Session Control**: Restrict trading to specific times of the day.
- **Time Zone**: Specify the time zone for session calculations.
- **Expiration**: Optionally set a date when the strategy should stop executing.
### Contract Settings
- **Contract Type**: Select from common futures contracts (MNQ, MES, NQ, ES) or custom values.
- **Point Value**: Define the dollar value per point movement.
- **Tick Size**: Set the minimum price movement for accurate calculations.
### Visual Signals
- **Continuous Position Signals**: Implement 0 to 1 visual signals to track position states.
- **Signal Plotting**: Customize color and appearance of position signals.
- **Clear Visual Feedback**: Instantly see when entry conditions are triggered.
### Risk Management
#### Stop Loss and Take Profit
- **Risk Type**: Choose between percentage-based, ATR-based, or points-based risk management.
- **Percentage Mode**: Set SL/TP as a percentage of entry price.
- **ATR Mode**: Set SL/TP as a multiple of the Average True Range.
- **Points Mode**: Set SL/TP as a fixed number of points from entry.
#### Advanced Exit Features
- **Break-Even**: Automatically move stop-loss to break-even after reaching specified profit threshold.
- **Trailing Stop**: Implement a trailing stop-loss that follows price movement at a defined distance.
- **Partial Profit Taking**: Take partial profits at predetermined price levels:
- Set first partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- Set second partial exit point and percentage of position to close
- **Time-Based Exit**: Automatically exit a position after a specified number of bars.
#### Win/Loss Streak Management
- **Streak Cutoff**: Automatically pause trading after a series of consecutive wins or losses.
- **Daily Reset**: Option to reset streak counters at the start of each day.
### Entry Conditions
- **Source and Value**: Define the exact price source and value that triggers entries.
- **Equals Condition**: Entry signals occur when the source exactly matches the specified value.
### Performance Analytics
- **Real-Time Stats**: Track important performance metrics like win rate, P&L, and largest wins/losses.
- **Visual Feedback**: On-chart markers for entries, exits, and important events.
### External Integration
- **Webhook Support**: Compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts for automated trading.
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to external trading systems and notification platforms.
- **Custom Order Execution**: Implement advanced order flows through external services.
## How to Use
### Setup Instructions
1. Add the script to your TradingView chart.
2. Configure the general settings based on your trading preferences.
3. Set session trading hours if you only want to trade specific times.
4. Select your contract specifications or customize for your instrument.
5. Configure risk parameters:
- Choose your preferred risk management approach
- Set appropriate stop-loss and take-profit levels
- Enable advanced features like break-even, trailing stops, or partial profit taking as needed
6. Define entry conditions:
- Select the price source (such as close, open, high, or an indicator)
- Set the specific value that should trigger entries
### Entry Condition Examples
- **Example 1**: To enter when price closes exactly at a whole number:
- Long Source: close
- Long Value: 4200 (for instance, to enter when price closes exactly at 4200)
- **Example 2**: To enter when an indicator reaches a specific value:
- Long Source: ta.rsi(close, 14)
- Long Value: 30 (triggers when RSI equals exactly 30)
### Best Practices
1. **Always backtest thoroughly** before using in live trading.
2. **Start with conservative risk settings**:
- Small position sizes
- Reasonable stop-loss distances
- Limited trades per day
3. **Monitor and adjust**:
- Use the performance table to track results
- Adjust parameters based on how the strategy performs
4. **Consider market volatility**:
- Use ATR-based stops during volatile periods
- Use fixed points during stable markets
## Continuous Position Signals Implementation
The LongShortExit strategy can be enhanced with continuous position signals to provide visual feedback about the current position state. These signals can help you track when the strategy is in a long or short position.
### Adding Continuous Position Signals
Add the following code to implement continuous position signals (0 to 1):
```pine
// Continuous position signals (0 to 1)
var float longSignal = 0.0
var float shortSignal = 0.0
// Update position signals based on your indicator's conditions
longSignal := longCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := shortCondition ? 1.0 : 0.0
// Plot continuous signals
plot(longSignal, title="Long Signal", color=#00FF00, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
plot(shortSignal, title="Short Signal", color=#FF0000, linewidth=2, transp=0, style=plot.style_line)
```
### Benefits of Continuous Position Signals
- Provides clear visual feedback of current position state (long/short)
- Signal values stay consistent (0 or 1) until condition changes
- Can be used for additional calculations or alert conditions
- Makes it easier to track when entry conditions are triggered
### Using with Custom Indicators
You can adapt the continuous position signals to work with any custom indicator by replacing the condition with your indicator's logic:
```pine
// Example with moving average crossover
longSignal := fastMA > slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
shortSignal := fastMA < slowMA ? 1.0 : 0.0
```
## Webhook Integration
The LongShortExit strategy is fully compatible with TradingView's webhook alerts, allowing you to connect your strategy to external trading platforms, brokers, or custom applications for automated trading execution.
### Setting Up Webhooks
1. Create an alert on your chart with the LongShortExit strategy
2. Enable the "Webhook URL" option in the alert dialog
3. Enter your webhook endpoint URL (from your broker or custom trading system)
4. Customize the alert message with relevant information using TradingView variables
### Webhook Message Format Example
```json
{
"strategy": "LongShortExit",
"action": "{{strategy.order.action}}",
"price": "{{strategy.order.price}}",
"quantity": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"time": "{{time}}",
"ticker": "{{ticker}}",
"position_size": "{{strategy.position_size}}",
"position_value": "{{strategy.position_value}}",
"order_id": "{{strategy.order.id}}",
"order_comment": "{{strategy.order.comment}}"
}
```
### TradingView Alert Condition Examples
For effective webhook automation, set up these alert conditions:
#### Entry Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} != {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Exit Alert
```
{{strategy.position_size}} < {{strategy.position_size}} or {{strategy.position_size}} > {{strategy.position_size}}
```
#### Partial Take Profit Alert
```
strategy.order.comment contains "Partial TP"
```
### Benefits of Webhook Integration
- **Automated Trading**: Execute trades automatically through supported brokers
- **Cross-Platform**: Connect to custom trading bots and applications
- **Real-Time Notifications**: Receive trade signals on external platforms
- **Data Collection**: Log trade data for further analysis
- **Custom Order Management**: Implement advanced order types not available in TradingView
### Compatible External Applications
- Trading bots and algorithmic trading software
- Custom order execution systems
- Discord, Telegram, or Slack notification systems
- Trade journaling applications
- Risk management platforms
### Implementation Recommendations
- Test webhook delivery using a free service like webhook.site before connecting to your actual trading system
- Include authentication tokens or API keys in your webhook URL or payload when required by your external service
- Consider implementing confirmation mechanisms to verify trade execution
- Log all webhook activities for troubleshooting and performance tracking
## Strategy Customization Tips
### For Scalping
- Set smaller profit targets (1-3 points)
- Use tighter stop-losses
- Enable break-even feature after small profit
- Set higher max trades per day
### For Day Trading
- Use moderate profit targets
- Implement partial profit taking
- Enable trailing stops
- Set reasonable session trading hours
### For Swing Trading
- Use longer-term charts
- Set wider stops (ATR-based often works well)
- Use higher profit targets
- Disable daily streak reset
## Common Troubleshooting
### Low Win Rate
- Consider widening stop-losses
- Verify that entry conditions aren't triggering too frequently
- Check if the equals condition is too restrictive; consider small tolerances
### Missing Obvious Trades
- The equals condition is extremely precise. Price must exactly match the specified value.
- Consider using floating-point precision for more reliable triggers
### Frequent Stop-Outs
- Try ATR-based stops instead of fixed points
- Increase the stop-loss distance
- Enable break-even feature to protect profits
## Important Notes
- The exact equals condition is strict and may result in fewer trade signals compared to other conditions.
- For instruments with decimal prices, exact equality might be rare. Consider the precision of your value.
- Break-even and trailing stop calculations are based on points, not percentage.
- Partial take-profit levels are defined in points distance from entry.
- The continuous position signals (0 to 1) provide valuable visual feedback but don't affect the strategy's trading logic directly.
- When implementing continuous signals, ensure they're aligned with the actual entry conditions used by the strategy.
---
*This strategy is for educational and informational purposes only. Always test thoroughly before using with real funds.*
magic wand STSM"Magic Wand STSM" Strategy: Trend-Following with Dynamic Risk Management
Overview:
The "Magic Wand STSM" (Supertrend & SMA Momentum) is an automated trading strategy designed to identify and capitalize on sustained trends in the market. It combines a multi-timeframe Supertrend for trend direction and potential reversal signals, along with a 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) for overall market bias. A key feature of this strategy is its dynamic position sizing based on a user-defined risk percentage per trade, and a built-in daily and monthly profit/loss tracking system to manage overall exposure and prevent overtrading.
How it Works (Underlying Concepts):
Multi-Timeframe Trend Confirmation (Supertrend):
The strategy uses two Supertrend indicators: one on the current chart timeframe and another on a higher timeframe (e.g., if your chart is 5-minute, the higher timeframe Supertrend might be 15-minute).
Trend Identification: The Supertrend's direction output is crucial. A negative direction indicates a bearish trend (price below Supertrend), while a positive direction indicates a bullish trend (price above Supertrend).
Confirmation: A core principle is that trades are only considered when the Supertrend on both the current and the higher timeframe align in the same direction. This helps to filter out noise and focus on stronger, more confirmed trends. For example, for a long trade, both Supertrends must be indicating a bearish trend (price below Supertrend line, implying an uptrend context where price is expected to stay above/rebound from Supertrend). Similarly, for short trades, both must be indicating a bullish trend (price above Supertrend line, implying a downtrend context where price is expected to stay below/retest Supertrend).
Trend "Readiness": The strategy specifically looks for situations where the Supertrend has been stable for a few bars (checking barssince the last direction change).
Long-Term Market Bias (200 SMA):
A 200-period Simple Moving Average is plotted on the chart.
Filter: For long trades, the price must be above the 200 SMA, confirming an overall bullish bias. For short trades, the price must be below the 200 SMA, confirming an overall bearish bias. This acts as a macro filter, ensuring trades are taken in alignment with the broader market direction.
"Lowest/Highest Value" Pullback Entries:
The strategy employs custom functions (LowestValueAndBar, HighestValueAndBar) to identify specific price action within the recent trend:
For Long Entries: It looks for a "buy ready" condition where the price has found a recent lowest point within a specific number of bars since the Supertrend turned bearish (indicating an uptrend). This suggests a potential pullback or consolidation before continuation. The entry trigger is a close above the open of this identified lowest bar, and also above the current bar's open.
For Short Entries: It looks for a "sell ready" condition where the price has found a recent highest point within a specific number of bars since the Supertrend turned bullish (indicating a downtrend). This suggests a potential rally or consolidation before continuation downwards. The entry trigger is a close below the open of this identified highest bar, and also below the current bar's open.
Candle Confirmation: The strategy also incorporates a check on the candle type at the "lowest/highest value" bar (e.g., closevalue_b < openvalue_b for buy signals, meaning a bearish candle at the low, suggesting a potential reversal before a buy).
Risk Management and Position Sizing:
Dynamic Lot Sizing: The lotsvalue function calculates the appropriate position size based on your Your Equity input, the Risk to Reward ratio, and your risk percentage for your balance % input. This ensures that the capital risked per trade remains consistent as a percentage of your equity, regardless of the instrument's volatility or price. The stop loss distance is directly used in this calculation.
Fixed Risk Reward: All trades are entered with a predefined Risk to Reward ratio (default 2.0). This means for every unit of risk (stop loss distance), the target profit is rr times that distance.
Daily and Monthly Performance Monitoring:
The strategy tracks todaysWins, todaysLosses, and res (daily net result) in real-time.
A "daily profit target" is implemented (day_profit): If the daily net result is very favorable (e.g., res >= 4 with todaysLosses >= 2 or todaysWins + todaysLosses >= 8), the strategy may temporarily halt trading for the remainder of the session to "lock in" profits and prevent overtrading during volatile periods.
A "monthly stop-out" (monthly_trade) is implemented: If the lres (overall net result from all closed trades) falls below a certain threshold (e.g., -12), the strategy will stop trading for a set period (one week in this case) to protect capital during prolonged drawdowns.
Trade Execution:
Entry Triggers: Trades are entered when all buy/sell conditions (Supertrend alignment, SMA filter, "buy/sell situation" candle confirmation, and risk management checks) are met, and there are no open positions.
Stop Loss and Take Profit:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is dynamically placed at the upTrendValue for long trades and downTrendValue for short trades. These values are derived from the Supertrend indicator, which naturally adjusts to market volatility.
Take Profit: The take profit is calculated based on the entry price, the stop loss, and the Risk to Reward ratio (rr).
Position Locks: lock_long and lock_short variables prevent immediate re-entry into the same direction once a trade is initiated, or after a trend reversal based on Supertrend changes.
Visual Elements:
The 200 SMA is plotted in yellow.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit lines are plotted in white, red, and green respectively when a trade is active, with shaded areas between them to visually represent risk and reward.
Diamond shapes are plotted at the bottom of the chart (green for potential buy signals, red for potential sell signals) to visually indicate when the buy_sit or sell_sit conditions are met, along with other key filters.
A comprehensive trade statistics table is displayed on the chart, showing daily wins/losses, daily profit, total deals, and overall profit/loss.
A background color indicates the active trading session.
Ideal Usage:
This strategy is best applied to instruments with clear trends and sufficient liquidity. Users should carefully adjust the Your Equity, Risk to Reward, and risk percentage inputs to align with their individual risk tolerance and capital. Experimentation with different ATR Length and Factor values for the Supertrend might be beneficial depending on the asset and timeframe.
Enigma Sniper 369The "Enigma Sniper 369" is a custom-built Pine Script indicator designed for TradingView, tailored specifically for forex traders seeking high-probability entries during high-volatility market sessions.
Unlike generic trend-following or scalping tools, this indicator uniquely combines session-based "kill zones" (London and US sessions), momentum-based candle analysis, and an optional EMA trend filter to pinpoint liquidity grabs and reversal opportunities.
Its originality lies in its focus on liquidity hunting—identifying levels where stop losses are likely clustered (around swing highs/lows and wick midpoints)—and providing visual entry zones that are dynamically removed once price breaches them, reducing clutter and focusing on actionable signals.
The name "369" reflects the structured approach of three key components (session timing, candle logic, and trend filter) working in harmony to snipe precise entries.
What It Does
"Enigma Sniper 369" identifies potential buy and sell opportunities by drawing two types of horizontal lines on the chart during user-defined London and US
session kill zones:
Solid Lines: Mark the swing low (for buys) or swing high (for sells) of a trigger candle, indicating a potential entry point where stop losses might be clustered.
Dotted Lines: Mark the 50% level of the candle’s wick (lower wick for buys, upper wick for sells), serving as a secondary confirmation zone for entries or tighter stop-loss placement.
These lines are plotted only when specific candle conditions are met within the kill zones, and they are automatically deleted once the price crosses them, signaling that the liquidity at that level has likely been grabbed. The indicator also includes an optional EMA filter to ensure trades align with the broader trend, reducing false signals in choppy markets.
How It Works
The indicator’s logic is built on a multi-layered approach:
Kill Zone Timing: Trades are only considered during user-defined London and US session hours (e.g., London from 02:00 to 12:00 UTC, as seen in the screenshots). These sessions are known for high volatility and liquidity, making them ideal for capturing institutional moves.
Candle-Based Momentum Logic:
Buy Signal: A candle must close above its midpoint (indicating bullish momentum) and have a lower low than the previous candle (suggesting a potential liquidity grab below the previous swing low). This is expressed as close > (high + low) / 2 and low < low .
Sell Signal: A candle must close below its midpoint (bearish momentum) and have a higher high than the previous candle (indicating a potential liquidity grab above the previous swing high), expressed as close < (high + low) / 2 and high > high .
These conditions ensure the indicator targets candles that break recent structure to hunt stop losses while showing directional momentum.
Optional EMA Filter: A 50-period EMA (customizable) can be enabled to filter signals based on trend direction.
Buy signals are only generated if the EMA is trending upward (ema_value > ema_value ), and sell signals require a downward EMA trend (ema_value < ema_value ). This reduces noise by aligning entries with the broader market trend.
Liquidity Levels and Deletion Logic:
For a buy signal, a solid green line is drawn at the candle’s low, and a dotted green line at the 50% level of the lower wick (from the candle body’s bottom to the low).
For a sell signal, a solid red line is drawn at the candle’s high, and a dotted red line at the 50% level of the upper wick (from the body’s top to the high).
These lines extend to the right until the price crosses them, at which point they are deleted, indicating the liquidity at that level has been taken (e.g., stop losses triggered).
Alerts: The indicator includes alert conditions for buy and sell signals, notifying traders when a new setup is identified.
Underlying Concepts
The indicator is grounded in the concept of liquidity hunting, a strategy often employed by institutional traders. Markets frequently move to levels where stop losses are clustered—typically just beyond swing highs or lows—before reversing in the opposite direction. The "Enigma Sniper 369" targets these moves by identifying candles that break structure (e.g., a lower low or higher high) during high-volatility sessions, suggesting a potential sweep of stop losses. The 50% wick level acts as a secondary confirmation, as this midpoint often represents a zone where tighter stop losses are placed by retail traders. The optional EMA filter adds a trend-following element, ensuring entries are taken in the direction of the broader market momentum, which is particularly useful on lower timeframes like the 15-minute chart shown in the screenshots.
How to Use It
Here’s a step-by-step guide based on the provided usage example on the GBP/USD 15-minute chart:
Setup the Indicator: Add "Enigma Sniper 369" to your TradingView chart. Adjust the London and US session hours to match your timezone (e.g., London from 02:00 to 12:00 UTC, US from 13:00 to 22:00 UTC). Customize the EMA period (default 50) and line styles/colors if desired.
Identify Kill Zones: The indicator highlights the London session in light green and the US session in light purple, as seen in the screenshots. Focus on these periods for signals, as they are the most volatile and likely to produce liquidity grabs.
Wait for a Signal: Look for solid and dotted lines to appear during the kill zones:
Buy Setup: A solid green line at the swing low and a dotted green line at the 50% lower wick level indicate a potential buy. This suggests the market may have grabbed liquidity below the swing low and is now poised to move higher.
Sell Setup: A solid red line at the swing high and a dotted red line at the 50% upper wick level indicate a potential sell, suggesting liquidity was taken above the swing high.
Place Your Trade:
For a buy, set a buy limit order at the dotted green line (50% wick level), as this is a more conservative entry point. Place your stop loss just below the solid green line (swing low) to cover the full swing. For example, in the screenshots, the market retraces to the dotted line at 1.32980 after a liquidity grab below the swing low, triggering a buy limit order.
For a sell, set a sell limit order at the dotted red line, with a stop loss just above the solid red line.
Monitor Price Action: Once the price crosses a line, it is deleted, indicating the liquidity at that level has been taken. In the screenshots, after the buy limit is triggered, the market moves higher, confirming the setup. The caption notes, “The market returns and tags us in long with a buy limit,” highlighting this retracement strategy.
Additional Context: Use the indicator to identify liquidity levels that may be targeted later. For example, the screenshot notes, “If a new session is about to open I will wait for the grab liquidity to go long,” showing how the indicator can be used to anticipate future moves at session opens (e.g., London open at 1.32980).
Risk Management: Always set a stop loss below the swing low (for buys) or above the swing high (for sells) to protect against adverse moves. The 50% wick level helps tighten entries, improving the risk-reward ratio.
Practical Example
On the GBP/USD 15-minute chart, during the London session (02:00 UTC), the indicator identifies a buy setup with a solid green line at 1.32901 (swing low) and a dotted green line at 1.32980 (50% wick level). The market initially dips below the swing low, grabbing liquidity, then retraces to the dotted line, triggering a buy limit order. The price subsequently rises to 1.33404, yielding a profitable trade. The user notes, “The logic is in the last candle it provides new level to go long,” emphasizing the indicator’s ability to identify fresh levels after a liquidity sweep.
Customization Tips
Adjust the EMA period to suit your timeframe (e.g., a shorter period like 20 for faster signals on lower timeframes).
Modify the session hours to align with your broker’s timezone or specific market conditions.
Use the alert feature to get notified of new setups without constantly monitoring the chart.
Why It’s Useful for Traders
The "Enigma Sniper 369" stands out by combining session timing, momentum-based candle analysis, and liquidity hunting into a single tool. It provides clear, actionable levels for entries and stop losses, removes invalid signals dynamically, and aligns trades with high-probability market conditions. Whether you’re a scalper looking for quick moves during London open or a swing trader targeting session-based reversals, this indicator offers a structured, data-driven approach to trading.
ADX Breakout Strategy█ OVERVIEW
The ADX Breakout strategy leverages the Average Directional Index (ADX) to identify and execute breakout trades within specified trading sessions. Designed for the NQ and ES 30-minute charts, this strategy aims to capture significant price movements while managing risk through predefined stop losses and trade limits.
This strategy was taken from a strategy that was posted on YouTube. I would link the video, but I believe is is "against house rules".
█ CONCEPTS
The strategy is built upon the following key concepts:
ADX Indicator: Utilizes the ADX to gauge the strength of a trend. Trades are initiated when the ADX value is below a certain threshold, indicating potential for trend development.
Trade Session Management: Limits trading to specific hours to align with optimal market activity periods.
Risk Management: Implements a fixed dollar stop loss and restricts the number of trades per session to control exposure.
█ FEATURES
Customizable Stop Loss: Set your preferred stop loss amount to manage risk effectively.
Trade Session Configuration: Define the trading hours to focus on the most active market periods.
Entry Conditions: Enter long positions when the price breaks above the highest close in the lookback window and the ADX indicates potential trend strength.
Trade Limits: Restrict the number of trades per session to maintain disciplined trading.
Automated Exit: Automatically closes all positions at the end of the trading session to avoid overnight risk.
█ HOW TO USE
Configure Inputs :
Stop Loss ($): Set the maximum loss per trade.
Trade Session: Define the active trading hours.
Highest Lookback Window: Specify the number of bars to consider for the highest close.
Apply the Strategy :
Add the ADX Breakout strategy to your chart on TradingView.
Ensure you are using a 30-minute timeframe for optimal performance.
█ LIMITATIONS
Market Conditions: The strategy is optimized for trending markets and may underperform in sideways or highly volatile conditions.
Timeframe Specific: Designed specifically for 30-minute charts; performance may vary on different timeframes.
Single Asset Focus: Primarily tested on NQ and ES instruments; effectiveness on other symbols is not guaranteed.
█ DISCLAIMER
This ADX Breakout strategy is provided for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice and should not be construed as such. Trading involves significant risk, and you may incur substantial losses. Always perform your own analysis and consider your financial situation before using this or any other trading strategy. The source material for this strategy is publicly available in the comments at the beginning of the code script. This strategy has been published openly for anyone to review and verify its methodology and performance.
Fibonacci Swing Trading BotStrategy Overview for "Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot"
Strategy Name: Fibonacci Swing Trading Bot
Version: Pine Script v5
Purpose: This strategy is designed for swing traders who want to leverage Fibonacci retracement levels and candlestick patterns to enter and exit trades on higher time frames.
Key Components:
1. Multiple Timeframe Analysis:
The strategy uses a customizable timeframe for analysis. You can choose between 4hour, daily, weekly, or monthly time frames to fit your preferred trading horizon. The high and low-price data is retrieved from the selected timeframe to identify swing points.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The script calculates two key Fibonacci retracement levels:
0.618: A common level where price often retraces before resuming its trend.
0.786: A deeper retracement level, often used to identify stronger support/resistance areas.
These levels are dynamically plotted on the chart based on the highest high and lowest low over the last 50 bars of the selected timeframe.
3. Candlestick Based Entry Signals:
The strategy uses candlestick patterns as the only indicator for trade entries:
Bullish Candle: A green candle (close > open) that forms between the 0.618 retracement level and the swing high.
Bearish Candle: A red candle (close < open) that forms between the 0.786 retracement level and the swing low.
When these candlestick patterns align with the Fibonacci levels, the script triggers buy or sell signals.
4. Risk Management:
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at 1% below the entry price for long trades and 1% above the entry price for short trades. This tight risk management ensures controlled losses.
Take Profit: The strategy uses a 2:1 risk-to-reward ratio. The take profit is automatically calculated based on this ratio relative to the stop loss.
5. Buy/Sell Logic:
Buy Signal: Triggered when a bullish candle forms above the 0.618 retracement level and below the swing high. The bot then places a long position.
Sell Signal: Triggered when a bearish candle forms below the 0.786 retracement level and above the swing low. The bot then places a short position.
The stop loss and take profit levels are automatically managed once the trade is placed.
Strengths of This Strategy:
Swing Trading Focus: The strategy is ideal for swing traders, targeting longer-term price moves that can take days or weeks to play out.
Simple Yet Effective Indicators: By only relying on Fibonacci retracement levels and basic candlestick patterns, the strategy avoids complexity while capitalizing on well-known support and resistance zones.
Automated Risk Management: The built-in stop loss and take profit mechanism ensures trades are protected, adhering to a strict 2:1 risk/reward ratio.
Multiple Timeframe Analysis: The script adapts to various market conditions by allowing users to switch between different timeframes (4hour, daily, weekly, monthly), giving traders flexibility.
Strategy Use Cases:
Retracement Traders: Traders who focus on entering the market at key retracement levels (0.618 and 0.786) will find this strategy especially useful.
Trend Reversal Traders: The strategy’s reliance on candlestick formations at Fibonacci levels helps traders spot potential reversals in price trends.
Risk Conscious Traders: With its 1% risk per trade and 2:1 risk/reward ratio, the strategy is ideal for traders who prioritize risk management in their trades.
BBTrend w SuperTrend decision - Strategy [presentTrading]This strategy aims to improve upon the performance of Traidngview's newly published "BB Trend" indicator by incorporating the SuperTrend for better trade execution and risk management. Enjoy :)
█Introduction and How it is Different
The "BBTrend w SuperTrend decision - Strategy " is a trading strategy designed to identify market trends using Bollinger Bands and SuperTrend indicators. What sets this strategy apart is its use of two Bollinger Bands with different lengths to capture both short-term and long-term market trends, providing a more comprehensive view of market dynamics. Additionally, the strategy includes customizable take profit (TP) and stop loss (SL) settings, allowing traders to tailor their risk management according to their preferences.
BTCUSD 4h Long Performance
█ Strategy, How It Works: Detailed Explanation
The BBTrend strategy employs two key indicators: Bollinger Bands and SuperTrend.
🔶 Bollinger Bands Calculation:
- Short Bollinger Bands**: Calculated using a shorter period (default 20).
- Long Bollinger Bands**: Calculated using a longer period (default 50).
- Bollinger Bands use the standard deviation of price data to create upper and lower bands around a moving average.
Upper Band = Middle Band + (k * Standard Deviation)
Lower Band = Middle Band - (k * Standard Deviation)
🔶 BBTrend Indicator:
- The BBTrend indicator is derived from the absolute differences between the short and long Bollinger Bands' lower and upper values.
BBTrend = (|Short Lower - Long Lower| - |Short Upper - Long Upper|) / Short Middle * 100
🔶 SuperTrend Indicator:
- The SuperTrend indicator is calculated using the average true range (ATR) and a multiplier. It helps identify the market trend direction by plotting levels above and below the price, which act as dynamic support and resistance levels. * @EliCobra makes the SuperTrend Toolkit. He is GOAT.
SuperTrend Upper = HL2 + (Factor * ATR)
SuperTrend Lower = HL2 - (Factor * ATR)
The strategy determines market trends by checking if the close price is above or below the SuperTrend values:
- Uptrend: Close price is above the SuperTrend lower band.
- Downtrend: Close price is below the SuperTrend upper band.
Short: 10 Long: 20 std 2
Short: 20 Long: 40 std 2
Short: 20 Long: 40 std 4
█ Trade Direction
The strategy allows traders to choose their trading direction:
- Long: Enter long positions only.
- Short: Enter short positions only.
- Both: Enter both long and short positions based on market conditions.
█ Usage
To use the "BBTrend - Strategy " effectively:
1. Configure Inputs: Adjust the Bollinger Bands lengths, standard deviation multiplier, and SuperTrend settings.
2. Set TPSL Conditions: Choose the take profit and stop loss percentages to manage risk.
3. Choose Trade Direction: Decide whether to trade long, short, or both directions.
4. Apply Strategy: Apply the strategy to your chart and monitor the signals for potential trades.
█ Default Settings
The default settings are designed to provide a balance between sensitivity and stability:
- Short BB Length (20): Captures short-term market trends.
- Long BB Length (50): Captures long-term market trends.
- StdDev (2.0): Determines the width of the Bollinger Bands.
- SuperTrend Length (10): Period for calculating the ATR.
- SuperTrend Factor (12): Multiplier for the ATR to adjust the SuperTrend sensitivity.
- Take Profit (30%): Sets the level at which profits are taken.
- Stop Loss (20%): Sets the level at which losses are cut to manage risk.
Effect on Performance
- Short BB Length: A shorter length makes the strategy more responsive to recent price changes but can generate more false signals.
- Long BB Length: A longer length provides smoother trend signals but may be slower to react to price changes.
- StdDev: Higher values create wider bands, reducing the frequency of signals but increasing their reliability.
- SuperTrend Length and Factor: Shorter lengths and higher factors make the SuperTrend more sensitive, providing quicker signals but potentially more noise.
- Take Profit and Stop Loss: Adjusting these levels affects the risk-reward ratio. Higher take profit percentages can increase gains but may result in fewer closed trades, while higher stop loss percentages can decrease the likelihood of being stopped out but increase potential losses.
[TTI] High Volume Close (HVC) Setup📜 ––––HISTORY & CREDITS––––
The High Volume Close (HVC) Setup is a specialised indicator designed for the TradingView platform used to identify specific bar. This tool was developed with the objective of identifying a technical pattern that trades have claimed is significant trading opportunities through a unique blend of volume analysis and price action strategies. It is based on the premise that high-volume bars, when combined with specific price action criteria, can signal key market movements.
The HVC is applicable both for swing and longer term trading and as a technical tool it can be used by traders of any asset type (stocks, ETF, crypto, forex etc).
🦄 –––UNIQUENESS–––
The uniqueness of the HVC Setup lies in its flexibility to determine an important price level based on historically important bar. The idea is to identify significant bars (e.g. those who have created the HIGHEST VOLUME: Ever, Yearly, Quarterly and meet additional criteria from the settings) and plot on the chart the close on that day as a significant level as well as theoretical stop loss and target levels. This approach allows traders to discern high volume bars that are contextually significant — a method not commonly found in standard trading tools.
🎯 ––––WHAT IT DOES––––
The HVC Setup indicator performs a series of calculations to identify high volume close bars/bar (HVC bars) based on the user requirements.
These bars are determined based on the highest volume recorded within a user-inputs:
👉 Period (Ever, Yearly, Quarterly) and must meet additional criteria such as:
👉 a minimum percentage Price Change (change is calculated based on a close/close) and
👉 specific Closing Range requirements for the HVC da.
The theory is that this is a significant bar that is important to know where it is on the chart.
The script includes a comparative analysis of the HVC bar's price against historical price highs (all-time, yearly, quarterly), which provides further context and significance to the identified bars. All of these USER input requirement are then taken into account as a condition to identity the High Volume Close Bar (HVC).
The visual representation includes color-coded bar (default is yellow) and lines to delineate these key trading signals. It then draws a blue line for the place where the close ofthe bar is, a red line that would signify a stop loss and 2 target profit levels equal to 2R and 3R of the risked level (close-stop loss). Additional lines can be turned on/off with their coresponding checkboxes in the settings.
If the user chooses "Ever" for Period - the script will look at the first available bar ever in Tradingview - this is generally the IPO bar;
If the users chooses "Yearly" - the script would look at the highest available bar for a completed year;
If the users chooses "Quarterly" - it would do the same for the quarter. (works on daily timeframe only);
While we have not backtested the performance of the script, this methodology has been widely publicised.
🛠️ ––––HOW TO USE IT––––
To utilize the HVC Setup effectively:
👉Customize Input Settings: Choose the HVC period, percentage change threshold, closing range, stop loss distance, and target multiples according to your trading strategy. Use the tick boxes to enable and disable if a given condition is used within the calculation.
👉Identify HVC Bars: The script highlights HVC bars, indicating potential opportunities based on volume and price action analysis.
👉Interpret Targets and Stop Losses: Use the color-coded lines (green for targets, red for stop losses) to guide your trade entries and exits.
👉Contextual Analysis: Always consider the HVC bar signals in conjunction with overall market trends and additional technical indicators for comprehensive trading decisions.
This script is designed to assist traders in identifying high-potential trading setups by using a combination of volume and price analysis, enhancing traditional methods with a unique, algorithmically driven approach.
Narrow Range StrategyNarrow Range Strategy :
INTRODUCTION :
This strategy is based on the Narrow Range Day concept, implying that low volatility will generate higher volatility in the days ahead. The strategy sends us buy and sell signals with well-defined profit targets. It's a medium/long-term strategy. There's also a money management method that allows us to reinvest part of the profits or reduce the size of orders in the event of substantial losses.
NARROW RANGE (NR) DAY :
A Narrow Range Day is a day in which price variations are included in those of a specific day some time before. The high and low of this specific day form the "reference range". In general, we compare these variations with those of 4 or 7 days ago. The mathematical formula for finding an NR4 is :
If low > low(4) and high < high(4) :
nr = true
This implies that the current low is greater than the low of 4 days ago, and the current high is smaller than the high of 4 days ago. So today's volatility is lower than that of 4 days ago, and may be a sign of high volatility to come.
PARAMETERS :
Narrow Range Length : Corresponds to the number of candles back to compare current volatility. The default is 4, allowing comparison of current volatility with that of 4 candles ago.
Stop Loss : Percentage of the reference range on which to set an exit order to limit losses. The minimum value is 0.001, while the maximum is 1. The default value is 0.35.
Fixed Ratio : This is the amount of gain or loss at which the order quantity is changed. The default is 400, which means that for each $400 gain or loss, the order size is increased or decreased by an amount chosen by the user.
Increasing Order Amount : This is the amount to be added to or subtracted from orders when the fixed ratio is reached. The default is $200, which means that for every $400 gain, $200 is reinvested in the strategy. On the other hand, for every $400 loss, the order size is reduced by $200.
Initial capital : $1000
Fees : Interactive Broker fees apply to this strategy. They are set at 0.18% of the trade value.
Slippage : 3 ticks or $0.03 per trade. Corresponds to the latency time between the moment the signal is received and the moment the order is executed by the broker.
Important : A bot was used to test NR4 and NR7 with all possible Stop Losses in order to find out which combination generates the highest return on BITSTAMP:ETHUSD while limiting the drawdown. This strategy is the most optimal with an NR4 and a SL of 35% of the reference range size in 5D timeframe.
BUY AND SHORT SIGNALS :
When an NR is spotted, we create two stop orders on the high and low of the reference range. As soon as there's a breakout from this reference range (shown in blue on the chart), we open a position. We're LONG if there's a breakout on the high and SHORT if there's a breakout on the low. Executing a stop order cancels the second stop order.
RISK MANAGEMENT :
This strategy is subject to losses. We manage our risk with Stop Losses. The user is free to enter a SL as a percentage of the reference range. The maximum amount risked per trade therefore depends on the size of the range. The larger the range, the greater the risk. That's why we have set a maximum Stop Loss to 10% to limiting risks per trade.
The special feature of this strategy is that it targets a precise profit objective. This corresponds to the size of the reference range at the top of the high if you're LONG, or at the bottom of the low if you're short. In the same way, the larger the reference range, the greater the potential profits.
The risk reward remains the same for all trades and amounts to : 100/35 = 2.86. If the reference range is too high, we have set a SL to 10% of the trade value to limit losses. In that case, the risk reward is less than 2.86.
MONEY MANAGEMENT :
The fixed ratio method was used to manage our gains and losses. For each gain of an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we increase the order size by a value defined by the user in the "Increasing order amount" parameter. Similarly, each time we lose an amount equal to the value of the fixed ratio, we decrease the order size by the same user-defined value. This strategy increases both performance and drawdown.
NOTE :
Please note that the strategy is backtested from 2017-01-01. As the timeframe is 5D, this strategy is a medium/long-term strategy. That's why only 37 trades were closed. Be careful, as the test sample is small and performance may not necessarily reflect what may happen in the future.
Enjoy the strategy and don't forget to take the trade :)